Monday, October 06, 2008

Hobbesian equilibrium

"The life of man, solitary, poor, nasty, brutish and short" wrote Thomas Hobbes in The Leviathan. He imagines life without government, with every man out for himself. To escape this, he concludes, a social contract is necessary. He was a Royalist and at one point tutor to the future King Charles II and so his ideal society was one where the population lives beneath a sovereign authority to whom all individuals in that society cede their natural rights for the sake of protection.
I am reminded of this today when the German government is the latest to provide a blanket guarantee for bank deposits. The theory is that such a guarantee will restore confidence in the banking system and protect individuals' hard-earned savings. What is needed, though, is that banks resume lending to each other and the US bail-out at least addresses this. European governments are effectively saying that they are prepared to print money to save voters' deposits which will not help Trichet's Euro-zone inflation target. The logical next step is to abandon inflation targets.

6 Comments:

Blogger kinglear said...

ww - are you not appalled at this whole scenario? Merkel says one day we all stand together and promptly serves her own self-interest. The eventual outcome is bound to be that all deposits everywhere will be guaranteed - which just means much more regulation and probably a permanent diminution of entrepreneurship & risk-taking, with a consequent drop in money circulation. Dire.

10:15 am  
Blogger Whispering Walls said...

Yes KL, towels and sunbeds spring to mind. Agree with you that guarantees will lead to less lending and a slowdown in trade. Back to forestry in Romania.

2:29 pm  
Blogger kinglear said...

ww - good to see the Fannie situation went well.

8:14 am  
Blogger Whispering Walls said...

Yes, KL, that was good news. Also the fact that they're creating a credit derivatives clearing house.

9:27 am  
Blogger Ellee Seymour said...

It's all very, very worrying. And now a bank in Iceland has been declared insolvent. Please can you sort out this mess for them?

2:04 pm  
Blogger Whispering Walls said...

Hi Ellee - I know very little about Iceland except that it's a hotbed of Russian mafia money.

7:24 am  

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